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Radiation Map Analysis (Europe/Australasia)

with 15 comments

May 18, 2011: This article provides further analysis of the private forecast images from Norway that show significantly higher levels of radioactive fallout than the public images ever showed. Specifically, we will look at a number of forecast images covering both Europe and Australasia, which images provide further evidence that the public forecasts from the Norwegian Institute for Air Research are completely inaccurate. Based on all the data that is currently available, the conclusion at this stage is that the obscured private images do in fact show the accurate and real forecast levels for radioactive fallout.

Incredible deception is constantly taking place relative to the terrible and ongoing nuclear catastrophe that the whole world is currently witnessing. Based on this fact alone it is very important that we all stay highly alert and attentive to the situation. With three reactors in an uncontrolled state of meltdown, this crisis could become much, much worse at any moment. Thus, it is certainly in all of our best interests to take as many precautions now as we are able, such that we are as prepared as possible for whatever might happen next.

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Radioactive Xenon-133 — May 7, 12:00 UTC (Private Forecast)

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Xe-133 - May 7, 2011, 12:00 UTC (Private Forecast) ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~    ~ ~    ~ ~ ~

This first image in our analysis of the radioactive fallout maps shows radioactive xenon-133 covering a large part of Europe at levels greater than 4000 bq/m2. For the same time (May 7, 12:00 UTC) the public forecast image from Norway showed no measurable levels of xenon-133 anywhere in Europe.

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Radioactive Xenon-133 — May 7, 12:00 UTC (Public vs Private Forecast)

Xe-133 - May 7, 2011, 12:00 UTC (Public vs Private)

See appendix for full-size images of those shown above.

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As shown in a previous analysis of these obscured forecasts from Norway [1] the levels of xenon-133 across north America on May 7 were higher than 40,000 bq/m2 for most of the continent. Thus, the levels on the various private forecast images correlate perfectly with statements made in April by some European monitoring agencies, which said that the USA is seeing 8-10 times the levels of radioactive fallout that is being seen in Europe [2].

This single fact makes it extremely likely that the “private” images show the real and accurate forecasts. In the left image above, the light blue “clouds” of xenon-133 covering parts of north America represent levels of around 1,000 bq/m2. Given that the levels on the US west coast are stated to be ten-fold those measured by European agencies, we should be seeing clouds of xenon-133 that are purple verging on dark blue (according to the scale on the left image) over at least some amount of Europe, yet the public forecast clearly shows no xenon-133 east of the Atlantic Ocean!

So, the levels in this public forecast do not at all represent an accurate depiction of radioactive fallout around the world, given the known facts and data that has been collected globally these past two months now. Therefore, the conclusion at this stage (until any further evidence comes to light) is that the “private” or obscured forecasts from Norway are in fact the most accurate and real estimations of the radioactive fallout from this nuclear catastrophe. Let us look at some further comparisons that confirm this conclusion.

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Radioactive Cesium-137 — Apr 26, 06:00 UTC (Public vs Private Forecasts)

Cs-137 - Apr 26, 2011, 06:00 UTC (Public vs Private)

See appendix for full-size images of those shown above.

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Here we see a forecast comparison of radioactive cesium-137 from the last week of April. Again, the public image at left shows almost no cesium-137 whatsoever beyond the region immediately around Japan. Yet, the forecast image at right shows levels in the range of 10-30 bq/m2 as far away as the UK. For instance, in the above right private forecast the city of Derry (Londonderry) in Ireland is covered by a yellow spot representing levels of around 30 bq/m2 (to see this more clearly check the full-size images in the appendix of this article).

Again, the levels shown by this private forecast for cesium-137 over Europe correlate with the levels shown by the private forecasts for north America around the same date. For instance, in private forecasts for April 25 the levels of cesium-137 over the US west coast are shown to be around 150 bq/m2 in places (see orange on the west coast, below left). Given that light blue in the above right forecast for Europe is around 15-20 bq/m2 this once again correlates extremely closely with the 8-10 times higher levels of radiation on the US west coast.

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Radioactive Cesium-137 — Apr 25, 15:00 UTC (Private Forecast – Two Scales)

Cs-137 - April 25, 2011, 15:00 UTC (Private - two scales)

See appendix for full-size images of those shown above.

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The forecast above is shown at two different scales (maximum 200 bq/m2 on the left and 40 bq/m2 on the right), which visually demonstrates that simply modifying the scale of these images makes them look significantly different! Based on all of the images available (both public and private) the public forecasts appear to have been a “diluted” version (by more than 100 times) of the private forecasts.

In both the public and private images the visible shapes and patterns of the air currents are the same (this is consistently seen in numerous comparisons [3] [4]), which shows that both image sets must have been based on the same forecast data for air flow around the world. However, it seems that the scale was set extremely high for the public images, leaving only a few faint wisps of purple (for iodine-131 and cesium-137) and areas of blue (for xenon-133) over the north American continent. Then, the numerical scale on the public images must have been replaced with a false scale showing levels at least 100 times lower than the actual.

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UPDATE – May 19, 2011: There was an accidental copy/paste error in the titles below, such that “Iodine-137” was stated rather than “Iodine-131” – this was a mistake and it should always have said “Iodine-131” as it does now!

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Radioactive Iodine-131 — Apr 18, 15:00 UTC (Public vs Private Forecasts)

I-131 - April 18, 2011, 15:00 UTC (Public vs Private)

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Radioactive Iodine-131 — Apr 21, 06:00 UTC (Public vs Private Forecasts)

I-131 - April 21, 2011, 06:00 UTC (Public vs Private)

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Radioactive Iodine-131 — Apr 23, 06:00 UTC (Public vs Private Forecasts)

I-131 - April 23, 2011, 06:00 UTC (Public vs Private)

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Radioactive Iodine-131 — Apr 23, 18:00 UTC (Public vs Private Forecasts)

I-131 - April 23, 2011, 18:00 UTC (Public vs Private)

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See appendix for full-size images of those shown above.

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In all four comparisons the public forecasts at left show no levels of iodine-131 whatsoever in Europe. Meanwhile, the private forecasts at right show the following levels of iodine-131 for the same exact times:

  • Apr 18 at 15:00 UTC shows levels around 50 bq/m2 over western Iceland, with levels around 40 bq/m2 over a large area of the Ukraine and Russia (between the Black Sea and the Caspian Sea)
  • Apr 21 at 06:00 UTC shows levels of about 100 bq/m2 in southern Iceland
  • Apr 23 at 06:00 UTC shows levels exceeding 400 bq/m2 over most of the western half of Iceland, with levels in excess of 50 bq/m2 being shown throughout much of Sweden (plus parts of Finland and Russia)
  • Apr 23 at 18:00 UTC shows levels in excess of 150 bq/m2 over much of eastern Iceland, with similar levels being shown over parts of western Ireland.

Estimation of Expected Iodine-131 Levels (Based on Measured Cesium-137 Levels)

From high volume sampling of air throughout Europe during April, we know that levels of radioactive cesium-137 in the range of 1,040-5,410 micro-bq/m3 (very distinct from bq/m2) were seen during the period (and throughout the area) depicted [5] in the four private forecast images. Now, here are some facts to help us approximate the expected iodine-131 levels for the same period of time: iodine-131 is typically seen at a ratio of 3-to-1 relative to cesium-137 in radioactive fallout from a nuclear disaster; it takes about 5 days for air to travel from Japan to western Europe; and iodine-131 has a half-life of only 8 days.

With these facts we can approximate the expected levels of airborne radioactive iodine-131, based on the actual measurements of cesium-137 recorded by various testing stations throughout Europe. Multiplying 1,040-5,410 micro-bq/m3 by three (3-to-1 ratio) gives 3,120-16,230 micro-bq/m3, which we then need to reduce due to decay of iodine-131 taking place as it is carried more than half way around the globe. The formula for the amount of radioactive isotope remaining after a period of time, Nt = N0 x (0.5) half-lives (where Nt is the amount remaining, N0 is the initial amount, and half-lives = time ÷ half-life), can be used in this situation:

Nt = N0 x (0.5) 5/8 [5 days to reach Europe / 8 day half-life] = N0 x (0.5) 0.625 = N0 x 0.65

Thus, after 5 days we expect to see about 65% of the radioactive iodine-131 arriving in Europe from Japan. So, multiplying 3,120-16,230 micro-bq/m3 by 65% we get a range for iodine-131 of 2,028-10,550 micro-bq/m3 for the period of days depicted. Again, this approximation is being based on the actual levels of cesium-137 that were measured by direct high volume air sampling.

Now, the forecasts from Norway show radiation in bq/m2 so we need to convert from bq/m3 before comparing the expected levels of iodine-131 with the levels shown on the public and private images. With the total air column (or volume) for one square metre of Earth’s surface being about 13,000 m3 (as the jetstream reaches to about 13,000 metres altitude) we multiply 2,028-10,550 micro-bq/m3 by 13,000 resulting in an expected range for iodine-131 throughout Europe of 26-137 bq/m2 (from April 18-23).

This expected range correlates extremely well with the private forecasts while not correlating at all with the public forecasts. The private forecasts for iodine-131 discussed above show a range of 40-150 bq/m2 (with peak values over 400 bq/m2) for various locations throughout Europe, which is an incredibly good match with the expected range of 26-137 bq/m2 arrived at through a few rudimentary calculations. So, we can once again conclude that the “private” forecasts from Norway are accurate and the public forecasts are not.

Radiation “Clouds” Over Australasia

About two weeks ago a friend from down under wrote to me saying that in mid-April he heard a very brief report on ABC Radio Australia about trace levels of xenon-133 being detected in the city of Darwin (the middle of far northern Australia). This friend often listens to the radio in the background for a number of hours a day, so he hears a stream of the latest news coming in from around the world. However, he told me that there was never another mention of radioactivity being detected in Australia in any news story he has heard since, which clearly suggests that the story was permanently pulled.

Within days of me hearing this interesting news from my friend, a small number of forecast images appeared (about one week ago now) in the private folder of the Norwegian server that do in fact show radioactive fallout over Australasia. So, let us take a look at two forecast images for this region.

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Radioactive Xenon-133 — April 18, 15:00 UTC (Public vs Private Forecasts)

Xe-133 - April 18, 2011, 15:00 UTC (Public vs Private)

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Radioactive Xenon-133 — May 11, 15:00 UTC (Public vs Private Forecasts)

Xe-133 - May 11, 2011, 15:00 UTC (Public vs Private)

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See appendix for full-size images of those shown above.

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In the first comparison from April 18 the public forecast shows no detectable levels of xenon-133 anywhere in Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, or Australia. On the other hand, the private forecast shows xenon-133 at levels above 4,000 bq/m2 covering much of Papua New Guinea and Indonesia, with levels of over 1,500 bq/m2 (light blue) being shown on the coast of far northern Queensland.

The next comparison is from exactly 23 days later (on May 11) and once again the public forecast shows no detectable levels of xenon-133 anywhere near Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, or Australia. However, the private forecast shows a huge amount of xenon-133 swirling over the Philippine Sea with levels exceeding 2,000 bq/m2 in the central parts of this radioactive “cloud” formation. Also, the private forecast shows traces of xenon-133 at levels of around 100-200 bq/m2 in the region of Darwin (light purple).

So, these private forecasts for Australasia directly correlate with the news report heard by my friend that there have been traces of radioactive xenon-133 detected in Darwin. Once again, this evidence leads to the conclusion that the private forecasts are accurate and the public forecasts are not at all accurate.

Private Forecast Images Not Currently Appearing

In the past three days only six forecast images have appeared in the “private” folder of the server run by the Norwegian Institute for Air Research. Five of these images appeared over two days ago, with a single image appearing yesterday and no new images today (as yet). After seeing an average of 90 additional images appear in this folder every day during the six days (inclusive) from May 10–15 (Norwegian time) it is curious that they have suddenly stopped.

At this stage it is not known why the frequency of images appearing in this folder has changed. Perhaps whomever is running the software creating these forecasts is simply pausing in their radioactive fallout analysis for now. Or perhaps they have realised that a number of news stories around the Internet have reported on the existence of this folder during the past week, such that they have stopped any additional forecast images from appearing there. However, it would seem likely that access to the folder itself would have also been blocked in that case, which it has not been. Thus, it remains to be seen if any further forecasts do appear in this obscure folder again.

Now is the Time for Humankind to Act!

Given the dire urgency of the situation with regards to the multiple nuclear reactor meltdowns that are ongoing, now is evidently the time for humankind to take universal and powerful action relative to this crisis. We must collectively work to quickly bring an end to the entire nuclear era, starting with the permanent shutdown of all nuclear reactors on Earth and progressing rapidly to complete global nuclear disarmament.

The incredible level of risk with nuclear technology is simply not worth it. There are many, many ways to generate electricity more efficiently than boiling water with a slow-burning (and sometimes out-of-control) nuclear bomb (which is an accurate description of the way that any and every nuclear power station operates). Those many other ways of generating electricity do not have the potential for killing billions of people (and possibly even all life on Earth). So, let us all be part of the global movement to end the nuclear era now.

Please read about the principles of “everybody-all-at-once” and the “Global Cooperative Forum” [6] in the articles on this blog, such that you can communicate about the new paradigm for human affairs to all that you know. Please pass on this critical information about the ongoing nuclear catastrophe (that is continuing to worsen by the day) and the massive deception taking place globally relative to the incredible seriousness of the situation (which deception is immediately proven by the stunning media blackout relative to what is certainly the worst industrial disaster in human history).

May all collectively respond to this terrible crisis with great urgency, such that a new paradigm for human affairs can be born out of this currently dark moment. It is time for us to get together and resolve this situation as a cooperative global community. Through the power of “everybody-all-at-once” may it be so!

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Here are full size images of those referenced in the article above. Click any of the private forecasts to open a new tab in your browser that will load the source image from Norway. Note that some private forecast images are animated (as noted), so you will be able to see the radiation “clouds” move over a period of time.

None of the public forecast images are available on the Norwegian server any longer, so links to exact copies of these images are now being used in place of links to Norway (above each public forecast you will see a link to where the images were hosted until last week – any of these links will now return a “forbidden” error). (forbidden)

Xe-133 - May 7, 2011, 12:00 UTC (Public Forecast)

Xe-133 - May 7, 2011, 12:00 UTC (Public Forecast)

Xe-133 - May 7, 2011, 12:00 UTC (Private Forecast)

Xe-133 - May 7, 2011, 12:00 UTC (Private Forecast) – ANIMATED (forbidden)

Cs-137 - April 26, 2011, 06:00 UTC (Public)

Cs-137 - April 26, 2011, 06:00 UTC (Public)

Cs-137 - April 26, 2011, 06:00 UTC (Private Forecast)

Cs-137 - April 26, 2011, 06:00 UTC (Private Forecast) - ANIMATED

Cs-137 - April 25, 2011, 15:00 UTC (Private - Scale 200)

Cs-137 - April 25, 2011, 15:00 UTC (Private - Scale 200)

Cs-137 - April 25, 2011, 15:00 UTC (Private - Scale 40)

Cs-137 - April 25, 2011, 15:00 UTC (Private - Scale 40) (forbidden)

I-131 - Apr 18, 2011, 15:00 UTC (Public Forecast)

I-131 - Apr 18, 2011, 15:00 UTC (Public Forecast)

I-131 - Apr 18, 2011, 15:00 UTC (Private Forecast)

I-131 - Apr 18, 2011, 15:00 UTC (Private Forecast) (forbidden)

I-131 - Apr 21, 2011, 06:00 UTC (Public Forecast)

I-131 - Apr 21, 2011, 06:00 UTC (Public Forecast)

I-131 - Apr 21, 2011, 06:00 UTC (Private Forecast)

I-131 - Apr 21, 2011, 06:00 UTC (Private Forecast) - ANIMATED (forbidden)

I-131 - Apr 23, 2011, 06:00 UTC (Public Forecast)

I-131 - Apr 23, 2011, 06:00 UTC (Public Forecast)

I-131 - Apr 23, 2011, 06:00 UTC (Private Forecast)

I-131 - Apr 23, 2011, 06:00 UTC (Private Forecast) - ANIMATED (forbidden)

I-131 - Apr 23, 2011, 18:00 UTC (Public Forecast)

I-131 - Apr 23, 2011, 18:00 UTC (Public Forecast)

I-131 - Apr 23, 2011, 18:00 UTC (Private Forecast)

I-131 - Apr 23, 2011, 18:00 UTC (Private Forecast) - ANIMATED (forbidden)

Xe-133 - April 18, 2011, 15:00 UTC (Public Forecast)

Xe-133 - April 18, 2011, 15:00 UTC (Public Forecast)

Xe-133 - April 18, 2011, 15:00 UTC (Private Forecast)

Xe-133 - April 18, 2011, 15:00 UTC (Private Forecast) (forbidden)

Xe-133 - May 11, 2011, 15:00 UTC (Public Forecast)

Xe-133 - May 11, 2011, 15:00 UTC (Public Forecast)

Xe-133 - May 11, 2011, 15:00 UTC (Private Forecast)

Xe-133 - May 11, 2011, 15:00 UTC (Private Forecast)

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Only everybody-all-at-once can change the current chaos.” —Adi Da

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Copyright Notice

Quotations/images from the World Friend Adi Da are copyright © The Avataric Samrajya of Adidam Pty Ltd,
as trustee for The Avataric Samrajya of Adidam. All rights reserved. Perpetual copyright claimed.

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Written by Savvy108

May 18, 2011 at 4:20 am

15 Responses

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  1. Hi Savvy,

    Please consult this background gamma radiation monitoring graph in relation to the April 23rd ‘prediction’ above:-

    Note the reading from Coleraine, particularly. It’s a puzzle to know what to believe, isn’t it? Almost like ‘They’ have scripted this latest exercise in mind control by enforced cognitive dissonance.

    IMV, the bottom line question still has to be ‘why have so many of the world’s reactors been built on or near geological fault lines, if not through deliberate planning?’

    Great site you have here. Global cooperation free of usury is the only long term solution – and the OWO know it…


    May 18, 2011 at 6:24 am

    • The other aspect is ‘at what altitude are these readings relevant’? It could take a few circuits to precipitate.

      Perhaps we should also take heed of Clif High’s “ill wind” prediction…?

      Jolly planet, isn’t it?


      May 18, 2011 at 6:33 am

    • Hi Joeb,

      Thanks for the link there. Yes, it is very hard to know what the truth is in this situation (unless one has a $100,000 testing setup for radioactive isotopes handy!). My knowledge relative to radioactivity is relatively minimal (though growing every day so that I can write these articles) so I’m not sure if the relatively low levels “predicted” even by the “private” NILU forecasts for April 23rd would cause any real spike in those gamma levels or not? Perhaps someone else who reads this with more expertise in that area might be able to comment.

      What is also interesting is that the “predictions” for I-131 as shown in this article were “simulated” on May 9th (for dates between April 18-23). This is somewhat strange. It seems to me that there would be no reason for this post-dated “forecast” unless someone was actually trying to analyse the probable levels after the fact – definitely an interesting point to consider. Just knowing that the levels in the private images all “add up” far, far better to all other data out there leads me to conclude that they must at least be more valid (if still not the exactly “real data”) than the now ended public forecasts.

      The whole disaster sure does smell of “script” everywhere I look. Unprecedented media blackouts on the single worst industrial disaster ever and that kind of thing. The powermongers are certainly up to every dirty and secretive trick in the book right now, which more and more people are waking up to all over the world (and may it be even more and more than that real soon!).

      It is a certain insanity that there are so many nuclear reactors in such unstable locations geologically. Those who built them must have known the risks and therefore must have chosen to build them there such that they could play the risks at the time of their choosing (such as over the past two months). It sure seems like that to me, in any case.

      Yes, the OWO do know the real threat to their little club, which is the people “waking up” and getting together to handle the situation peacefully and cooperatively. I only pray that we all have the chance to put such cooperation into action, before this disaster possibly gets significantly worse!

      Thanks for your comments.


      May 18, 2011 at 7:01 am

    • Altitude is definitely an important factor. As we know, the NILU forecasts do not show concentrations at different levels of the atmosphere (only the “total column”), whereas the Rhenish forecasts used to show predicted concentrations at three different altitude levels (surface, 2500m and 5000m).

      From all that I have read and understood about the way radioactive fallout works, the isotopes will basically all be coming down to the surface over time (not sure how long that will take, but maybe a meteorologist would have a better idea?). So, there will be buildup that is ongoing and especially concentrated locally by precipitation.

      The extremely necessary testing that must therefore take place — if there is to be any safety eating any food from pretty much anywhere affected by fallout (obviously including all of Japan, as well as north America and whatever other northern hemisphere places are getting heavily affected) — is for the levels of longer-lived isotopes (like cesium-137 and strontium-90) in soil, water, and basically all fresh grown food. Without that testing, it’s going to be like “Russian Roulette” every time we eat lunch!

      May everyone on this planet get hip to the need for all of us to be more jolly (Websters 1913: “full of life and mirth; jovial; joyous; merry; mirthful”) with each other and with the world altogether. That would certainly be a step in the right direction!


      May 18, 2011 at 7:51 am

  2. Amen, bro’

    Where you say “The powermongers are certainly up to every dirty and secretive trick in the book right now”

    Which book? Weishaupt? Herzl? Bernays? Tavistock? – My feeling is that they have lost it altogether – internal dissensions might become more visible now Strauss Kahn’t…rough times ahead:-

    Many thanks for your considered responses, Savvy.

    ps: The Argus Network wide aperture GM tubes can be vouched for as quality by the NRPB (FWIW!) – no data fudging either ;-/


    May 18, 2011 at 10:17 am

  3. There sure are a number of “play books” that these ruling folk use and you may well be right that they are having some conflict about the “rules of the game” at this point. Various folk have definitely suggested this as a likelihood over the past year or so and I tend to agree that the internal divisions within the ruling power system in the coming months and years could well be a significant factor in bringing about the end of their age-old ruling structure.

    If only we could put all that kind on a different planet, where they can play out their insane and destructive fantasies on each other (without taking all of us and even the whole Earth down with them). That would be great. Barring that, we’ll all need to collectively find a way to ensure that their death-dealing “games” come to an end, or else they very likely will take us all down with their sinking ship.

    That Russian guy is certainly one out of the box! I did read about all that the other day and it certainly could be somewhat (if not entirely) true. As if nuclear technology wasn’t enough to destroy the planet, we have gone on to develop even more insane weapons of mass destruction these recent years. Time for us to grow up as a race, I’d say, and get on with using technology for constructive and peaceful and useful purposes!

    Thanks also for the heads up on the Argus Network monitoring. I’m glad to hear that the testing equipment is quality and I will definitely keep an eye on that page from now on.


    May 18, 2011 at 11:35 am

  4. Growing up? I suspect it is now being forced upon those who haven’t taken sufficient notice of the signs ;-/

    Some spook type mentioned recently that the OWO wanted South Island, New Zealand for their very own – (how appropriate that Mordor was reconstructed there 😉 not that I put any credence in the concept, as I’m sure they are fully aware of the ring of fire… Paraguay more likely…

    As for Zhirinovski, despite being labelled a clown (character assassination?), he’s been proven ‘correct’ before…

    BTW, in that list of ‘dirty’ books/policies, I missed out Monarch – is onto that one, as was Springmeier.

    Hmm, trolling season seems to have started rather early at enenews. So many illusions 😉


    May 20, 2011 at 12:11 pm

  5. I found this page by reading a helpful comment at where they link to the latest articles from around the world that have to do with Fukushima. They include a nice pertinent excerpt from said article too if you are short on time.


    May 20, 2011 at 1:49 pm

    • Hey, good to see you on Savvy’s site, occiferdave – I also note your succinct efforts on Utube – a place I gave up on long ago after the Purdue 9/11 cartoon plus 120,000+ ‘comments’ 😉

      @Savvy – I would love to find out more about Adi Da’s philosophy but there is no way I would ever be party to an email collection scheme, however tempting or well-meaning. Pity, that. Free the knowledge or it gets buried. An example of the opposite approach can be found on sites like bibliotecapleyades, waybackmachine, etc etc – for example:-
      John Coleman – Conspirators Hierarchy – the complete, unexpurgated version.


      May 22, 2011 at 4:46 am

    • @ joeb – Thanks for the comment! Apologies for not seeing your reply here until today (June 6th) – must have missed it somehow (and I’ve also been busy with other work the past couple of weeks, so haven’t looked at the blog as much).

      Yes, I whole-heartedly agree that the knowledge must be freed. To assist with doing this, I have set up a new page just now that links directly to each of the seven excerpts that comprise the entire book “Not-Two Is Peace” (see All the links will be changed throughout this blog to direct to this new index page (instead of going to the source site, which I have listed at the bottom of the index page in any case).

      The sites that you list are some I have also frequently used, including the excellent bibliotecapleyades.

      Thanks for the very helpful suggestion – I have wondered a number of times if the e-mail screen on the source site for “Not-Two Is Peace” would be a detriment to getting the knowledge out there and you have confirmed it to be so! Appreciated.


      June 6, 2011 at 2:50 pm

  6. [cross posted from enenews – I just found this site so I may be repeating stuff already covered here]

    I poked around the server a little, and found a few things. I give simple directions to these below, but usually not URLs, to limit traffic: a stampede on the server and they might rope off even more.

    First, the zardoz server seems to have been around for a while, and to be neither Fukushima-specific nor radiation-specific. The ~flexpart folder (okay, it’s a UNIX directory), right off the root, has several subfolders, for assorted projects, dating back to 2006 (of course, they could have added bogus projects and manipulated file dates). In fact there is no folder here specifically for Fukushima data, which is consistent with it being a recent, ad hoc addition.

    Second, if you go to the flexpart_interactive folder under ~flexpart, and click Flexpart_custom.html, you get taken to a control panel (inoperative) for generating the types of plots we’ve been looking at, for eight data sets of which Fukushima is one. The control panel includes options for several plot parameters that may be set.

    I had wondered whether parameters we can’t deduce from the plots themselves might help explain differences between the “public” and “private” plots. Beyond the obvious parameters such as geographic region (featuring a slick map interface), date range, and isotope, you can set: Altitude (vs sea level or ground level, -1 for Total Column); Ageclass (e.g. 0-6 hrs, 0-5 days, all); and Nested Fields (no idea what this means). But I don’t see anything that looks both significant and unaccounted for on the plot legends.

    Finally, if you go to the forecasts folder under ~flexpart, then click the FLEXPART link (direct URL below), you can read a little about the “particle dispersion model,” and you can download the FLEXPART user guide (very technical) and source code (FORTRAN 77) if you’re really curious. FLEXPART “is being developed continuously,” so later versions may have additional parameters I didn’t cover.


    May 22, 2011 at 5:57 am

    • Thanks for the analysis of the zardoz server. I did also notice that it has been around for years and that a large number of forecasts are actually for ash coming from various volcanic eruptions.

      It is interesting to consider whether or not the staff at NILU are aware of the fact that a lot of people have now been looking at these forecast images on their zardoz server. Presumably the extra traffic must have been noticed by someone?

      There have been only 7 small forecast images in the past 4 days since this article was published, so it will be interesting to see if more forecasts do yet appear in this folder, especially any forecasts for current (or future) dates/times (rather than dates/times that are now in the past).


      May 22, 2011 at 8:52 am

    • Right, and if you go through the front door, NILU has tons of other projects with no clear connection to zardoz, and maybe one or two radiation-related (the FLEXPART software does have a few provisions for dealing with dispersion of radioactive particles).

      For completeness, I focused on all this because of speculation that the zardoz server name was cynically connecting Fukushima to the post-nuke scenario of the movie. I just did a search and see you have also touched on this in a previous post.

      I still have trouble seeing the connection between the public and private plots. I could see NILU (at the behest of the PTB) dividing its readings by, say, 100 or 1000, for similar but less intense results. I don’t see that. Maybe I have nt looked carefully enough, but I don’t see any resemblance, in the examples I’ve looked at so far, between the public and private results for the same presumed input parameters – and that leaves me perplexed. They could much more easily massage the data systematically, rather than generate entire new sets of bogus data.

      Anyway, I’d seen the plots before, but it was this article (lnked in that got me started on them. I can see you’ve put a ton of effort into this – my pleasure to add a little noodling in the browser address bar.


      May 22, 2011 at 12:00 pm

  7. Do a google trend on drug shortage, then create a good alert on drug shortage. Notice the correlation on the timeline of the shortages and more specifically, the types of shortages.

    Someone is stockpiling cancer drugs. Production hasn’t changed, there have been no alerts on cancer increases. So where does that leave the 2 billion under the fallout? Pretty much dead in the water.


    September 1, 2011 at 3:34 am

  8. Why do they split the cloud up? If it weren’t, that would make it easier to picture how the contamination flows.

    I’m trying to find out what they’re talking about: 40% of the European land mass is radioactive

    Sage O'Sludge

    April 4, 2014 at 6:06 am

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